Harryhammer's Blog

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Climate Scientists: most of their predictions have fallen short

Carbon dioxide emissions have grown faster than any of the (19) IPCC climate models predicted.

The tropics are expanding faster than any of the (19) IPCC climate models predicted.

Atlantic hurricane intensity has increased faster than any of the (19) IPCC climate models predicted.

The recent Arctic sea-ice retreat is larger than any of the (19) IPCC climate models predicted.

The sea-level rise of 3.3 millimetres per year from 1993 – 2006, was higher than any of the (19) IPCC climate models predicted.

As a matter of fact, in 2001 the IPCC thought that neither Greenland nor Antarctica would lose ice mass by 2100. They both already have. Ice sheets appear to be shrinking 100 years ahead of schedule and the retreat is accelerating.

It must be just one big “Inconvenient Coincidence”?

4 Responses to “Climate Scientists: most of their predictions have fallen short”

  1. AGW-Skeptic99

    All the sites that report arctic sea ice are now reporting that sea ice is approximately average versus the 30 year average. What is your citation for otherwise?

    Antarctic sea ice has been increasing for decades, and there are no reliable indications that land based ice mass is changing in either direction. Again do you have a citation?

  2. AGW-Skeptic99

    The Colorado sea level graphs are now reporting 2.9 mm per year, not 3.3, but this is a trivial sea level rise. Where is your citation that the IPCC forecast even less. At 3 mm per year, it takes 300 years to get three feet, and only those who are fervent believers are willing to project a thirty year measurement out 300 years.

    Hansen of the IPCC forecast that New York City would have flooded highways in twenty years, twenty years ago. He and the IPCC are still making the same forecasts, and it just isn’t happening.

    Your passionate beliefs would better serve mankind if you used them to feed the poor, like the ones who cannot afford to buy food because Al Gore and the rest of you true believers decided it was a good idea to turn food into alcohol.

    Probably drones like yourself are not getting rich on these phony forecasts, and probably you don’t have the guts to approve this post, but it is what it is. People are starving because of crazy programs to convert corn to alcohol, and people in third world countries will suffer immensely because your world vision means that they will have no access to electricity and any chance to improve their standard of living.

    Have a nice day.

  3. harryhammer

    Why wouldn’t I post your comment?

    I’m not the one rejecting the majority opinion of the experts, you are.

    Let’s face the fact that neither of us are experts in the field of climate science. That said, the basic conclusions of the IPCC have been endorsed by more than 40 scientific societies and academies of science, including all of the national academies of science of all of the industrialized countries.

    On one hand you have the world’s most accomplished and reputable scientists, more than 2,000 of whom have submitted research to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. These people agree, unreservedly, that climate change is happening and is caused by human activity.

    On the other hand, you have a huge and expensive public relations campaign denying that scientific consensus. This campaign is largely financed with money from energy companies like ExxonMobil, which is then lightly laundered through “think tanks” like the Alexis de Tocqueville Institution or the Competitive Enterprise Institute or through industry front groups like the Science & Environmental Policy Project.

    Do you know that the only influential country in the world to question the scientific basis for the Copenhagen talks is Saudi Arabia?

    Just ask yourself one simple question:

    How many of the global warming deniers are funded by Exxon Mobil and the coal industry?

    Among those who also disagree with your assessment are the Royal Society of London and the Royal Society of Canada.

    Perhaps you aren’t aware of the fact that these major scientific organizations do not take stands on something like this unless the consensus among their members is VERY strong. Note that the American Geophysical Union, a scientific society with a membership of 50,000 researchers, just STRENGTHENED their position on this issue.

    If I listed the statements of all of the other scientific academies, associations, etc…, that are in agreement on this I could fill a small book.

    Honestly, how convincing are arguments that absolutely require thousands of scientists to be either corrupt or stupid?

    Other than with a few oil and coal related geology groups, there is no controversy. There are truly only a handful of climatologist contrarians relative to the number of mainstream climatologists out there. I think it’s much more likely that the handful of skeptics are either corrupt or stupid.

    My advice to you is stop listening to what the politicians have to say and start listening to what the scientists have to say and you will soon discover that there really is no controversy at all.

    I also suggest that you check out the sites that that deny the reality of climate change and then check on http://www.sourcewatch.org to see who paid for those opinions. Don’t accept the word of people who pass themselves off as “skeptics.” Be skeptical yourself. Ask yourself what motive the scientific community has to gang up and invent a phony climate crisis. Then compare that to the motives that ExxonMobil or Peabody Coal might have to deny that burning fossil fuels could irrevocably and indiscriminately change our existence on the planet.


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